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Placebo for methotrexate

Amgen · Phase 3 active Small molecule ✓ Verified May 2026

Placebo for methotrexate is a Small molecule drug developed by Amgen. It is currently in Phase 3 development for Control arm in Phase 3 clinical trial for methotrexate.

A placebo contains no active pharmaceutical ingredient and produces no direct pharmacological effect.

Placebo is used as a control intervention in clinical trials studying the effects of methotrexate on various conditions, including osteoarthritis of the knee, rheumatoid arthritis, and HIV. Methotrexate is a small molecule modality, as classified by ChEMBL, and is being studied in clinical trials, with Placebo serving as a comparison in these studies.

Likelihood of approval
61.3% vs 58.3% industry baseline
If approved by FDA: likely 2028–2030
Steps remaining: NDA/BLA submission
Confidence: High
Why this estimate
  • Baseline phase 3 → approval rate +58.3pp
    Industry-wide phase 3 drugs reach approval ~58.3% of the time (BIO/Informa 2023 industry benchmark across all therapeutic areas).
  • Big-pharma sponsor +3.0pp
    Amgen is a top-20 pharma sponsor — historical approval rates run ~3pp above average due to scale, regulatory experience, and trial-design quality.
Predicted approval windows by jurisdiction (conditional on FDA approval)
Regulator Country Likely year Lag vs FDA
FDA US 2028–2030
EMA EU 2029–2031 +0.7 yr
MHRA GB 2029–2031 +0.7 yr
Health Canada CA 2029–2032 +0.9 yr
TGA AU 2029–2032 +1.2 yr
PMDA JP 2029–2032 +1.5 yr
NMPA CN 2030–2033 +2.3 yr
MFDS KR 2029–2032 +1.4 yr
CDSCO IN 2029–2033 +1.8 yr
ANVISA BR 2030–2033 +2.3 yr

Hover any row for the lag rationale. Lag estimates are reduced when the drug has FDA Breakthrough or EMA PRIME designation (sponsors file globally in parallel).

Estimate based on the BIO/Informa industry phase transition rates plus per-drug modifiers for therapeutic area, sponsor type, FDA designations, mechanism, and trial design. Per-jurisdiction lags from Tufts CSDD international approval studies. Not investment, clinical or regulatory advice. Methodology: /methodology#likelihood.

At a glance

Generic namePlacebo for methotrexate
SponsorAmgen
ModalitySmall molecule
PhasePhase 3

Mechanism of action

Placebos are inert substances used as controls in clinical trials to establish the efficacy of an active drug by comparison. Any observed effects in placebo groups are attributed to the placebo effect, natural disease progression, or regression to the mean. In this Phase 3 trial context, the placebo serves as the control arm against which methotrexate efficacy is measured.

Approved indications

Common side effects

No common side effects on file.

Key clinical trials

Primary sources

Every claim on this page is sourced from regulatory or scientific primary sources. See our editorial policy for full methodology.

SourceUsed for
ClinicalTrials.govTrial enrolment, design, endpoints, results

Competitive intelligence

For the full competitive landscape — auto-detected comparators, recent regulatory actions across the set, upcoming PDUFA, patent timeline, sponsor landscape:

Frequently asked questions about Placebo for methotrexate

What is Placebo for methotrexate?

Placebo for methotrexate is a Small molecule drug developed by Amgen, indicated for Control arm in Phase 3 clinical trial for methotrexate.

How does Placebo for methotrexate work?

A placebo contains no active pharmaceutical ingredient and produces no direct pharmacological effect.

What is Placebo for methotrexate used for?

Placebo for methotrexate is indicated for Control arm in Phase 3 clinical trial for methotrexate.

Who makes Placebo for methotrexate?

Placebo for methotrexate is developed by Amgen (see full Amgen pipeline at /company/amgen).

What development phase is Placebo for methotrexate in?

Placebo for methotrexate is in Phase 3.

Related

Primary sources · FDA · ClinicalTrials.gov · EMA · SEC EDGAR · ChEMBL · Wikidata · full sourcing