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Placebo for Abemaciclib

Eli Lilly and Company · Phase 3 active Small molecule

Placebo for Abemaciclib is a Small molecule drug developed by Eli Lilly and Company. It is currently in Phase 3 development for Control arm in phase 3 clinical trials of abemaciclib.

A placebo contains no active pharmaceutical ingredient and produces no direct pharmacological effect.

A placebo contains no active pharmaceutical ingredient and produces no direct pharmacological effect. Used for Control arm in phase 3 clinical trials of abemaciclib.

Likelihood of approval
64.3% vs 58.3% industry baseline
If approved by FDA: likely 2028–2030
Steps remaining: NDA/BLA submission
Confidence: High
Why this estimate
  • Baseline phase 3 → approval rate +58.3pp
    Industry-wide phase 3 drugs reach approval ~58.3% of the time (BIO/Informa 2023 industry benchmark across all therapeutic areas).
  • Oncology Phase 3 boost +3.0pp
    Oncology Phase 3 trials have higher approval rates (~61%) than the cross-industry average due to clearer endpoints and FDA oncology pathway.
  • Big-pharma sponsor +3.0pp
    Eli Lilly and Company is a top-20 pharma sponsor — historical approval rates run ~3pp above average due to scale, regulatory experience, and trial-design quality.
Predicted approval windows by jurisdiction (conditional on FDA approval)
Regulator Country Likely year Lag vs FDA
FDA US 2028–2030
EMA EU 2029–2031 +0.7 yr
MHRA GB 2029–2031 +0.7 yr
Health Canada CA 2029–2032 +0.9 yr
TGA AU 2029–2032 +1.2 yr
PMDA JP 2029–2032 +1.5 yr
NMPA CN 2030–2033 +2.3 yr
MFDS KR 2029–2032 +1.4 yr
CDSCO IN 2029–2033 +1.8 yr
ANVISA BR 2030–2033 +2.3 yr

Hover any row for the lag rationale. Lag estimates are reduced when the drug has FDA Breakthrough or EMA PRIME designation (sponsors file globally in parallel).

Estimate based on the BIO/Informa industry phase transition rates plus per-drug modifiers for therapeutic area, sponsor type, FDA designations, mechanism, and trial design. Per-jurisdiction lags from Tufts CSDD international approval studies. Not investment, clinical or regulatory advice. Methodology: /methodology#likelihood.

At a glance

Generic namePlacebo for Abemaciclib
SponsorEli Lilly and Company
ModalitySmall molecule
Therapeutic areaOncology
PhasePhase 3

Mechanism of action

Placebo is an inert substance used as a control in clinical trials to establish the efficacy of the active drug (abemaciclib) by comparison. Any observed effects in the placebo arm are attributed to natural disease progression, regression to the mean, or the placebo effect itself. Placebos are essential for blinded trial design to eliminate bias and accurately measure the true therapeutic benefit of the investigational drug.

Approved indications

Common side effects

No common side effects on file.

Key clinical trials

Primary sources

Every claim on this page is sourced from regulatory or scientific primary sources. See our editorial policy for full methodology.

SourceUsed for
ClinicalTrials.govTrial enrolment, design, endpoints, results

Competitive intelligence

For the full competitive landscape — auto-detected comparators, recent regulatory actions across the set, upcoming PDUFA, patent timeline, sponsor landscape:

Frequently asked questions about Placebo for Abemaciclib

What is Placebo for Abemaciclib?

Placebo for Abemaciclib is a Small molecule drug developed by Eli Lilly and Company, indicated for Control arm in phase 3 clinical trials of abemaciclib.

How does Placebo for Abemaciclib work?

A placebo contains no active pharmaceutical ingredient and produces no direct pharmacological effect.

What is Placebo for Abemaciclib used for?

Placebo for Abemaciclib is indicated for Control arm in phase 3 clinical trials of abemaciclib.

Who makes Placebo for Abemaciclib?

Placebo for Abemaciclib is developed by Eli Lilly and Company (see full Eli Lilly and Company pipeline at /company/eli-lilly).

What development phase is Placebo for Abemaciclib in?

Placebo for Abemaciclib is in Phase 3.

Related

Primary sources · FDA · ClinicalTrials.gov · EMA · SEC EDGAR · ChEMBL · Wikidata · full sourcing