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Placebo/Lactose

University of Manitoba · Phase 3 active Small molecule Under review

Placebo/Lactose is a Small molecule drug developed by University of Manitoba. It is currently in Phase 3 development for Control arm in phase 3 clinical trial (University of Manitoba).

Placebo/lactose has no active pharmacological mechanism and serves as an inert control substance in clinical trials.

Placebo/Lactose is a treatment intervention used in clinical trials, specifically in studies for conditions such as Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD) and dementia. It is a placebo, which is a substance with no therapeutic effect, made from lactose, a type of sugar.

Likelihood of approval
58.3% vs 58.3% industry baseline
If approved by FDA: likely 2028–2030
Steps remaining: NDA/BLA submission
Confidence: High
Why this estimate
  • Baseline phase 3 → approval rate +58.3pp
    Industry-wide phase 3 drugs reach approval ~58.3% of the time (BIO/Informa 2023 industry benchmark across all therapeutic areas).
Predicted approval windows by jurisdiction (conditional on FDA approval)
Regulator Country Likely year Lag vs FDA
FDA US 2028–2030
EMA EU 2029–2031 +0.7 yr
MHRA GB 2029–2031 +0.7 yr
Health Canada CA 2029–2032 +0.9 yr
TGA AU 2029–2032 +1.2 yr
PMDA JP 2029–2032 +1.5 yr
NMPA CN 2030–2033 +2.3 yr
MFDS KR 2029–2032 +1.4 yr
CDSCO IN 2029–2033 +1.8 yr
ANVISA BR 2030–2033 +2.3 yr

Hover any row for the lag rationale. Lag estimates are reduced when the drug has FDA Breakthrough or EMA PRIME designation (sponsors file globally in parallel).

Estimate based on the BIO/Informa industry phase transition rates plus per-drug modifiers for therapeutic area, sponsor type, FDA designations, mechanism, and trial design. Per-jurisdiction lags from Tufts CSDD international approval studies. Not investment, clinical or regulatory advice. Methodology: /methodology#likelihood.

At a glance

Generic namePlacebo/Lactose
SponsorUniversity of Manitoba
ModalitySmall molecule
PhasePhase 3

Mechanism of action

Lactose is a disaccharide sugar used as an inactive comparator in randomized controlled trials to establish baseline efficacy and safety of investigational drugs. It produces no therapeutic effect and allows researchers to distinguish true drug effects from placebo response and natural disease progression.

Approved indications

Common side effects

Key clinical trials

Primary sources

Every claim on this page is sourced from regulatory or scientific primary sources. See our editorial policy for full methodology.

SourceUsed for
ClinicalTrials.govTrial enrolment, design, endpoints, results

Competitive intelligence

For the full competitive landscape — auto-detected comparators, recent regulatory actions across the set, upcoming PDUFA, patent timeline, sponsor landscape:

Frequently asked questions about Placebo/Lactose

What is Placebo/Lactose?

Placebo/Lactose is a Small molecule drug developed by University of Manitoba, indicated for Control arm in phase 3 clinical trial (University of Manitoba).

How does Placebo/Lactose work?

Placebo/lactose has no active pharmacological mechanism and serves as an inert control substance in clinical trials.

What is Placebo/Lactose used for?

Placebo/Lactose is indicated for Control arm in phase 3 clinical trial (University of Manitoba).

Who makes Placebo/Lactose?

Placebo/Lactose is developed by University of Manitoba (see full University of Manitoba pipeline at /company/university-of-manitoba).

What development phase is Placebo/Lactose in?

Placebo/Lactose is in Phase 3.

What are the side effects of Placebo/Lactose?

Common side effects of Placebo/Lactose include Adverse events attributable to placebo effect or underlying disease progression.

Related

Primary sources · FDA · ClinicalTrials.gov · EMA · SEC EDGAR · ChEMBL · Wikidata · full sourcing