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Ospemifene (Dose 1)

Shionogi · Phase 3 active Small molecule Under review

Ospemifene (Dose 1) is a Selective estrogen receptor modulator (SERM) Small molecule drug developed by Shionogi. It is currently in Phase 3 development for Moderate to severe dyspareunia due to genitourinary syndrome of menopause (GSM).

Ospemifene is a selective estrogen receptor modulator (SERM) that acts as an estrogen agonist in vaginal tissue to treat moderate to severe dyspareunia caused by genitourinary syndrome of menopause.

Ospemifene is a small molecule that modulates the estrogen receptor, classified as a modulator. It is being studied for the treatment of vulvar and vaginal atrophy in postmenopausal women, with a dose of 60 mg being evaluated in clinical trials.

Likelihood of approval
58.3% vs 58.3% industry baseline
If approved by FDA: likely 2028–2030
Steps remaining: NDA/BLA submission
Confidence: High
Why this estimate
  • Baseline phase 3 → approval rate +58.3pp
    Industry-wide phase 3 drugs reach approval ~58.3% of the time (BIO/Informa 2023 industry benchmark across all therapeutic areas).
Predicted approval windows by jurisdiction (conditional on FDA approval)
Regulator Country Likely year Lag vs FDA
FDA US 2028–2030
EMA EU 2029–2031 +0.7 yr
MHRA GB 2029–2031 +0.7 yr
Health Canada CA 2029–2032 +0.9 yr
TGA AU 2029–2032 +1.2 yr
PMDA JP 2029–2032 +1.5 yr
NMPA CN 2030–2033 +2.3 yr
MFDS KR 2029–2032 +1.4 yr
CDSCO IN 2029–2033 +1.8 yr
ANVISA BR 2030–2033 +2.3 yr

Hover any row for the lag rationale. Lag estimates are reduced when the drug has FDA Breakthrough or EMA PRIME designation (sponsors file globally in parallel).

Estimate based on the BIO/Informa industry phase transition rates plus per-drug modifiers for therapeutic area, sponsor type, FDA designations, mechanism, and trial design. Per-jurisdiction lags from Tufts CSDD international approval studies. Not investment, clinical or regulatory advice. Methodology: /methodology#likelihood.

At a glance

Generic nameOspemifene (Dose 1)
SponsorShionogi
Drug classSelective estrogen receptor modulator (SERM)
TargetEstrogen receptor (ER-α and ER-β)
ModalitySmall molecule
Therapeutic areaWomen's Health / Gynecology
PhasePhase 3

Mechanism of action

Ospemifene selectively binds to estrogen receptors in the vaginal epithelium, promoting tissue proliferation and improving vaginal maturation and lubrication. This mechanism addresses the vaginal atrophy and dryness characteristic of genitourinary syndrome of menopause (GSM), thereby reducing pain during intercourse without systemic hormonal effects typical of hormone replacement therapy.

Approved indications

Common side effects

Key clinical trials

Primary sources

Every claim on this page is sourced from regulatory or scientific primary sources. See our editorial policy for full methodology.

SourceUsed for
ClinicalTrials.govTrial enrolment, design, endpoints, results

Competitive intelligence

For the full competitive landscape — auto-detected comparators, recent regulatory actions across the set, upcoming PDUFA, patent timeline, sponsor landscape:

Frequently asked questions about Ospemifene (Dose 1)

What is Ospemifene (Dose 1)?

Ospemifene (Dose 1) is a Selective estrogen receptor modulator (SERM) drug developed by Shionogi, indicated for Moderate to severe dyspareunia due to genitourinary syndrome of menopause (GSM).

How does Ospemifene (Dose 1) work?

Ospemifene is a selective estrogen receptor modulator (SERM) that acts as an estrogen agonist in vaginal tissue to treat moderate to severe dyspareunia caused by genitourinary syndrome of menopause.

What is Ospemifene (Dose 1) used for?

Ospemifene (Dose 1) is indicated for Moderate to severe dyspareunia due to genitourinary syndrome of menopause (GSM).

Who makes Ospemifene (Dose 1)?

Ospemifene (Dose 1) is developed by Shionogi (see full Shionogi pipeline at /company/shionogi).

What drug class is Ospemifene (Dose 1) in?

Ospemifene (Dose 1) belongs to the Selective estrogen receptor modulator (SERM) class. See all Selective estrogen receptor modulator (SERM) drugs at /class/selective-estrogen-receptor-modulator-serm.

What development phase is Ospemifene (Dose 1) in?

Ospemifene (Dose 1) is in Phase 3.

What are the side effects of Ospemifene (Dose 1)?

Common side effects of Ospemifene (Dose 1) include Hot flashes, Vaginal discharge, Vaginal bleeding or spotting, Headache, Muscle spasms.

What does Ospemifene (Dose 1) target?

Ospemifene (Dose 1) targets Estrogen receptor (ER-α and ER-β) and is a Selective estrogen receptor modulator (SERM).

Related

Primary sources · FDA · ClinicalTrials.gov · EMA · SEC EDGAR · ChEMBL · Wikidata · full sourcing