Last reviewed · How we verify

Active Comparator: GARDASIL ®9

Shanghai Bovax Biotechnology Co., Ltd. · Phase 3 active Biologic ✓ Verified May 2026

Active Comparator: GARDASIL ®9 is a Recombinant HPV vaccine Biologic drug developed by Shanghai Bovax Biotechnology Co., Ltd.. It is currently in Phase 3 development for Prevention of cervical cancer caused by HPV types 16, 18, 31, 33, 45, 52, 58, Prevention of genital warts caused by HPV types 6, 11, Prevention of anal cancer and other HPV-related cancers.

GARDASIL 9 is a recombinant human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccine that stimulates the immune system to produce antibodies against nine HPV types to prevent infection and associated cancers.

GARDASIL 9 is an active comparator in a clinical study evaluating its immunogenicity and safety in Chinese healthy females. The study is a randomized, double-blind, and positive-controlled Phase 3 study to evaluate the immunogenicity and safety of a 9-valent HPV recombinant vaccine in comparison to GARDASIL 9.

Likelihood of approval
61.3% vs 58.3% industry baseline
If approved by FDA: likely 2028–2030
Steps remaining: NDA/BLA submission
Confidence: High
Why this estimate
  • Baseline phase 3 → approval rate +58.3pp
    Industry-wide phase 3 drugs reach approval ~58.3% of the time (BIO/Informa 2023 industry benchmark across all therapeutic areas).
  • Oncology Phase 3 boost +3.0pp
    Oncology Phase 3 trials have higher approval rates (~61%) than the cross-industry average due to clearer endpoints and FDA oncology pathway.
Predicted approval windows by jurisdiction (conditional on FDA approval)
Regulator Country Likely year Lag vs FDA
FDA US 2028–2030
EMA EU 2029–2031 +0.7 yr
MHRA GB 2029–2031 +0.7 yr
Health Canada CA 2029–2032 +0.9 yr
TGA AU 2029–2032 +1.2 yr
PMDA JP 2029–2032 +1.5 yr
NMPA CN 2030–2033 +2.3 yr
MFDS KR 2029–2032 +1.4 yr
CDSCO IN 2029–2033 +1.8 yr
ANVISA BR 2030–2033 +2.3 yr

Hover any row for the lag rationale. Lag estimates are reduced when the drug has FDA Breakthrough or EMA PRIME designation (sponsors file globally in parallel).

Estimate based on the BIO/Informa industry phase transition rates plus per-drug modifiers for therapeutic area, sponsor type, FDA designations, mechanism, and trial design. Per-jurisdiction lags from Tufts CSDD international approval studies. Not investment, clinical or regulatory advice. Methodology: /methodology#likelihood.

At a glance

Generic nameActive Comparator: GARDASIL ®9
SponsorShanghai Bovax Biotechnology Co., Ltd.
Drug classRecombinant HPV vaccine
TargetHuman papillomavirus (HPV) types 6, 11, 16, 18, 31, 33, 45, 52, 58
ModalityBiologic
Therapeutic areaOncology / Immunology / Infectious Disease
PhasePhase 3

Mechanism of action

GARDASIL 9 contains virus-like particles (VLPs) derived from nine HPV types (6, 11, 16, 18, 31, 33, 45, 52, and 58). When administered, these VLPs trigger a humoral immune response that generates neutralizing antibodies against the targeted HPV types, preventing viral infection of epithelial cells and reducing the risk of HPV-related malignancies and genital warts. The vaccine provides protection against both low-risk HPV types (6, 11) that cause benign warts and high-risk types (16, 18, 31, 33, 45, 52, 58) associated with cervical, anal, and other cancers.

Approved indications

Common side effects

Key clinical trials

Primary sources

Every claim on this page is sourced from regulatory or scientific primary sources. See our editorial policy for full methodology.

SourceUsed for
ClinicalTrials.govTrial enrolment, design, endpoints, results

Competitive intelligence

For the full competitive landscape — auto-detected comparators, recent regulatory actions across the set, upcoming PDUFA, patent timeline, sponsor landscape:

Frequently asked questions about Active Comparator: GARDASIL ®9

What is Active Comparator: GARDASIL ®9?

Active Comparator: GARDASIL ®9 is a Recombinant HPV vaccine drug developed by Shanghai Bovax Biotechnology Co., Ltd., indicated for Prevention of cervical cancer caused by HPV types 16, 18, 31, 33, 45, 52, 58, Prevention of genital warts caused by HPV types 6, 11, Prevention of anal cancer and other HPV-related cancers.

How does Active Comparator: GARDASIL ®9 work?

GARDASIL 9 is a recombinant human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccine that stimulates the immune system to produce antibodies against nine HPV types to prevent infection and associated cancers.

What is Active Comparator: GARDASIL ®9 used for?

Active Comparator: GARDASIL ®9 is indicated for Prevention of cervical cancer caused by HPV types 16, 18, 31, 33, 45, 52, 58, Prevention of genital warts caused by HPV types 6, 11, Prevention of anal cancer and other HPV-related cancers.

Who makes Active Comparator: GARDASIL ®9?

Active Comparator: GARDASIL ®9 is developed by Shanghai Bovax Biotechnology Co., Ltd. (see full Shanghai Bovax Biotechnology Co., Ltd. pipeline at /company/shanghai-bovax-biotechnology-co-ltd).

What drug class is Active Comparator: GARDASIL ®9 in?

Active Comparator: GARDASIL ®9 belongs to the Recombinant HPV vaccine class. See all Recombinant HPV vaccine drugs at /class/recombinant-hpv-vaccine.

What development phase is Active Comparator: GARDASIL ®9 in?

Active Comparator: GARDASIL ®9 is in Phase 3.

What are the side effects of Active Comparator: GARDASIL ®9?

Common side effects of Active Comparator: GARDASIL ®9 include Injection site pain/soreness, Injection site swelling, Injection site erythema, Headache, Fever, Nausea.

What does Active Comparator: GARDASIL ®9 target?

Active Comparator: GARDASIL ®9 targets Human papillomavirus (HPV) types 6, 11, 16, 18, 31, 33, 45, 52, 58 and is a Recombinant HPV vaccine.

Related

Primary sources · FDA · ClinicalTrials.gov · EMA · SEC EDGAR · ChEMBL · Wikidata · full sourcing